Beaussie wrote:The Swans will be fine TLPG. We have a hardcore base of 20-25k in Sydney. In good times those numbers swell to 30k-35k.
Sydney sports fans are notoriously fickle. You only have to look at the BS NRL figures to know that's true. Ditto the A League. All of the Swans hardcore following come from a much lower number locally. The majority are South Melbourne supporters.
I just can't rid myself of the feeling that the Giants will do more harm than good in Sydney. I know you said that they're including Canberra in their catchment which would be a good move of course and that might have contributed to the numbers. In fact I hope it did in one sense. For two reasons. One - it shows a possible hardcore base from the get go, and two - it means that there could still be some poaching from the fan base of Penrith, Parramatta and the Wests half of West Tigers to come.
Renewed Swans memberships for 2012 will be a key to that, as will the Giants performance in the NAB Cup and who they pick up from the out of contract players.
Look, I hope that the Giants do wreck the membership levels of the NRL clubs. Maybe in the initial stages they might. I just refuse to believe that the Panthers at least won't try and fight back. And I still don't believe that the market share on the AFL in Sydney is enough for two clubs yet.