THERE is, at the heart of the AFL draft system, a false premise: recruiting teenagers is both a precise exercise and one certain to raise low teams high. It is not true.
While drafting astutely is unquestionably important to success, nearly every premiership club of recent years - Geelong being an exception - has traded, as much as drafted, its way to the top.
Port Adelaide added experience from elsewhere to just about every line to win in 2004, just as Sydney did, with Craig Bolton, Barry Hall, Paul Williams, Nick Davis, Darren Jolly and Jason Ball, to succeed the following year.
Who could envisage Collingwood's triumph in 2010 without Jolly, Luke Ball and Leigh Brown? Even the Cats were captained in 2007 and 2009 by ex-Port Adelaide defender Tom Harley and led in the ruck by a former Tiger, Brad Ottens.
Drafting can explain some of Sydney's unbeaten start to this season but it cannot be fully understood without recognition of the importance of trading for Josh Kennedy, Shane Mumford, Rhyce Shaw, Ted Richards, Marty Mattner and Ben McGlynn over the years.
The draft is not science nor certain cure which, to an extent, is what Melbourne and Jack Watts tell us, if we want to listen.